TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Lincoln and Burnley, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how analysts and fans might assess the relative strength and performance of the teams based on the final score after regular time.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Lincoln vs Burnley EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Lincoln winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lincoln winning by more than 1.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. The event is purely observational and is not endorsed by or affiliated with the governing league or any official soccer organizations. All trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information or analytical approaches. If significant differences exist, arbitrage opportunities may emerge for traders who can capitalize on the price variations between the two. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Lincoln vs Burnley match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price converges as more information becomes available and opinions solidify. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the Lincoln vs Burnley match. The resolution will be based on official results and data sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Lincoln or Burnley would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. News regarding team morale, coaching changes, or even public sentiment could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning by a certain margin has the potential to move this market.