TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams competing in a league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular playing time, including any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Lincoln and Burnley both score a goal in the Lincoln vs Burnley EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows traders to continuously update their assessments based on new information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and typical sportsbook offerings, it could indicate the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's a useful comparison for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome. The price of a 'Yes' contract represents the probability of both Lincoln and Burnley scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, demand for 'Yes' contracts increases, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders anticipate a match where one or both teams fail to score, the price of 'Yes' contracts will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lincoln and Burnley score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive their payout based on the final price of the contracts they held.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lincoln or Burnley would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or shifts in team form based on recent matches, could also move the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, might also cause traders to adjust their positions and alter the price of contracts on Kalshi.