TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 2.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:15h:27m
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Lincoln Red Imps and Hajduk. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time. The outcome depends purely on the match's scoring dynamics.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data regarding the Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk match. Observing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe over 3.5 goals will be scored, or 'no' contracts if they believe under 3.5 goals will be scored. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, giving an indication of the demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in regulation time and any added time will be used to determine whether over or under 3.5 goals were scored. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be determined independently of the prediction market platform. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Lincoln Red Imps or Hajduk would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, pre-match analysis from football experts, team news, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to shifts in the market price. Unexpected tactical decisions by either manager during the match could also lead to price movements.