TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Hajduk wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Hajduk wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:19h:51m
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This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Lincoln Red Imps and Hajduk, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds for goal differences determine various possible outcomes.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Lincoln Red Imps and Hajduk in their professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Lincoln Red Imps winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lincoln Red Imps winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hajduk winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hajduk winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific threshold that is met, with the largest applicable differential taking precedence if multiple thresholds are satisfied. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk match, specifically the spread as defined by the market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning by the specified spread. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market sentiment, causing prices to shift. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential movements in this market.