TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.1b
24H VOL:
$337,672,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,360,784
421,272
Markets across
40,138
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,437
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Hajduk
all
4 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Predict
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 01d:23h:44m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Europa Conference League soccer match between Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split on November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Lincoln Red Imps, Hajduk Split, or the match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split.
The event resolves based on the result of the Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Lincoln Red Imps, a win for Hajduk, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their view, leading to prices driven by supply and demand. This can result in discrepancies; sometimes prediction markets are more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbook oddsmakers. The volume of $1,055 on this market suggests a level of interest and informed trading.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Lincoln Red Imps vs. Hajduk Split match. Trading fees, platform-specific rules, and the overall liquidity on each venue also contribute to price differences. Furthermore, the way each platform aggregates opinions and the types of orders allowed can influence how quickly information is incorporated into the price. Currently, the differing probabilities reflect these varied market dynamics.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lincoln Red Imps vs. Hajduk Split match, as determined by the governing football association. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data shortly after the match concludes. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Lincoln Red Imps or Hajduk Split could shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff would be particularly impactful. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will likely cause the market to move.