TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Lincoln City FC vs West Ham United FC?

Volume:
$686,830

West Ham United FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 7:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

West Ham United FC

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$151,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

West Ham

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143,754
N/A
N/A
$92,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lincoln

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,576
N/A
N/A
$133,063
Settled
No
polymarket

Lincoln City FC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,536
N/A
N/A
$96,226
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Lincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether West Ham United FC will win their soccer match against Lincoln City FC on October 14, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of West Ham United winning is 98.0%, with a 2.3% probability that the match will end in a draw. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on the official result reported by https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself on October 14, 2026, as that will determine final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves cancelled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on other criteria.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Determines a winner or draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result of the Lincoln vs West Ham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Lincoln City FC and West Ham United FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Lincoln vs West Ham EFL Championship match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Lincoln wins (for the Lincoln market), West Ham wins (for the West Ham market), or the match ends in a tie (for the Tie market). All markets share identical secondary rules: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, it will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can differ significantly, leading to variations in price discovery. Different information sources and interpretations of news related to the Lincoln City vs. West Ham match can also contribute to diverging opinions among traders on each platform, resulting in differing probabilities reflected in the market prices.