TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Lillestroem and Real Sociedad. Bettors assess whether the combined offensive performance of both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome hinges purely on the final score from the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific half-goal increments (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). All markets consider only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. The resolution depends solely on the official match result as recognized by the governing league, with Kalshi explicitly stating it holds no official affiliation with the league or its entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official match data, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lillestroem or Real Sociedad would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could drive trading activity and alter the prices within this market. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also have a notable effect.