TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad?

Volume:
$126,864

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 4:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,056
N/A
N/A
$39,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,881
N/A
N/A
$14,965
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,676
N/A
N/A
$10,900
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,673
N/A
N/A
$6,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 5.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,692
N/A
N/A
$5,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,585
N/A
N/A
$5,823
Settled
No
kalshi

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Sociedad wins by more than 6.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Lillestroem and Real Sociedad, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026, based on the goal differential within regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Four distinct markets resolve to 'Yes' under specific conditions: Lillestroem winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lillestroem winning by more than 1.5 goals, Real Sociedad winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Real Sociedad winning by more than 2.5 goals. If none of these conditions are met—such as a win by exactly 1 or 2 goals for either team, a draw, or a larger margin of victory not covered by the specified thresholds—the markets resolve to 'No'. All markets explicitly exclude outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks and brand names belonging to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time based on trader activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $126,864, with $125,088 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely outcome of the spread in this soccer match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match, the odds here will adjust accordingly, potentially offering an edge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are determined entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match, as determined by official sources for soccer scores. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final spread and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions.

Several signals could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable for the Lillestroem vs Real Sociedad match would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, major upsets in other related soccer matches or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis could also contribute to price movements in this market.