TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Ligue 1 fixture between Lille and Stade Brest 29, markets will resolve according to whether more than zero goals are scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not counting extra time or penalties.
If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater weight on, information not fully incorporated by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift more rapidly in response to breaking news or changing circumstances than sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Lille vs Brest match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the likely result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Lille vs Brest match are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lille or Stade Brest 29 would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift probabilities. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 18, 2026.