TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses whether Lille and Stade Brest 29 will both score in their Ligue 1 encounter on October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome requires each team to score at least one goal within the match's regular time, including stoppage time but not extra time or penalties.
If Lille and Stade Brest 29 both score a goal in the Lille vs Stade Brest 29 Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or marketing considerations into their lines, whereas this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading activity. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still emerge, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Lille and Stade Brest 29 score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine the final result. Any goals scored during regular time or added time will be considered, but extra time or penalty shootouts will not factor into the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lille or Stade Brest 29 would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could influence the perceived likelihood of goals being scored by both sides.