TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Lille and Le Havre both score a goal in the Lille vs Le Havre Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring, and the resulting price can diverge from sportsbook offerings based on differing information or interpretations. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Lille vs Le Havre match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether both Lille and Le Havre score at least one goal during the match. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score will be the determining factor in whether this market settles in the affirmative or negative, based on whether both teams found the back of the net.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lille or Le Havre would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the price of this market.