TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether over 5.5 goals will be scored in the Lille versus Galatasaray Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 5.5 goals being scored is 99.0%, while the probability of over 6.5 goals is 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 21, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the outcome of this market.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Lille vs Galatasaray Champions League match scheduled for October 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time must exceed the specified threshold. Importantly, goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward any of these markets. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market’s pricing is driven by the collective predictions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even subjective factors. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Lille vs Galatasaray match will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes any goals scored during regular play or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for settlement.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lille or Galatasaray would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups closer to the match time could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these teams could indirectly affect expectations and shift volume in this market.