TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lille vs Galatasaray: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lille vs Galatasaray?

Volume:
$195,199

Galatasaray wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 2:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,346
N/A
N/A
$42,155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,581
N/A
N/A
$23,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Lille wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,707
N/A
N/A
$21,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,338
N/A
N/A
$11,934
Settled
No
kalshi

Lille wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,227
N/A
N/A
$8,362
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Lille and Galatasaray, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match must conclude within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time to be valid.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Lille vs Galatasaray Champions League match scheduled for October 21, 2026. Four distinct criteria are applied: Lille winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lille winning by more than 1.5 goals, Galatasaray winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Galatasaray winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lille vs Galatasaray match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, volume is $175,845 and total volume is $195,199. This allows participants to see how confidence in different outcomes is shifting and to analyze trading activity. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the anticipated point difference in this soccer contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches, as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the price.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Lille vs Galatasaray match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that efficiently reflects the probability of different outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread – the difference in points between Lille and Galatasaray – will be determined by the official result of the match. The platform will then verify this result against publicly available data to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Lille or Galatasaray would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even controversies surrounding the match could all contribute to shifts in the price, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.