TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the first half of the Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK UEFA Champions League match will be over or under 4.5. Currently, “Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 4.5” has a 10.0% probability on Polymarket, while “Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK 1st Half O/U 2.5” sits at 10.0%. The resolution source for this market is https://www.uefa.com/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on October 21 at 12:45 PM ET, as the first-half score will determine the outcome of this market.
More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 12:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the odds here may move in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome drives up its price, increasing its implied probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lille vs. Galatasaray match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements or shifts in form for either Lille or Galatasaray would also be closely watched. Even general news about the teams' performance in other competitions could impact trading activity. The closer we get to Oct 21, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to any new information.