TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Lille OSC and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Lille OSC and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, may more quickly incorporate new information or react to changing circumstances, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see differences in perceived probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Lille or Galatasaray scoring first. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, team form, and other relevant factors.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Lille OSC or Galatasaray SK, scores the first goal in the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the market will be settled, and ensure they have exited any positions before the resolution time.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lille or Galatasaray would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also impact trader sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected weather conditions could move the market. Any information perceived as altering the probability of either team scoring first has the potential to drive price fluctuations.