TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on different information than the diverse group of traders participating in this market. As more information becomes available and more people trade, the prediction market odds tend to become more accurate, potentially outperforming traditional sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and breaking news.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Ligue 1 match. The current volume of $122 indicates the level of interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Toulouse versus Estac Troyes Ligue 1 match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final odds at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Toulouse or Estac Troyes would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also move the market. Major upsets in other Ligue 1 matches that affect the standings or motivation of either team could also play a role in how this market evolves.