TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins into their odds, while this market relies on individuals predicting the most likely outcome. Generally, prediction markets are considered to be highly accurate, sometimes even more so than traditional forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The current price indicates the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Lille vs Brestois match, and it’s constantly updated as new trades are executed.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ligue 1 match between Lille and Stade Brestois 29. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. The outcome will be determined by the official match results.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or changes in coaching staff, would likely cause price movements. Additionally, broader football news, such as upsets in other Ligue 1 matches, could indirectly impact sentiment. Even significant weather forecasts for the match location could play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators.