TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of an outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are dynamic and change with every trade, providing a constantly updated assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Lightning vs. Utah game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure transparency and accuracy, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either the Lightning or Utah could significantly shift the odds. Major news regarding team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting the game could also drive trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments. Any significant development related to the game is likely to be reflected in the price of shares.