TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 7:15PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 7:15PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals betting on their beliefs about the game's outcome. While sportsbooks consider factors like public betting patterns and expert analysis, this market represents a more direct expression of probabilities as perceived by those trading it. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, if traders sell contracts, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Lightning vs. Rangers game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Lightning or the Rangers would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or lineup changes could also move the market. Even broader factors, like weather conditions if the game is outdoors, could play a role in influencing predictions and trading activity.