TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Often, prediction markets are more accurate forecasts of future events than traditional polls or even sportsbook lines. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and varying motivations between traders and bettors. It's valuable to consider both sources when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price movements indicate the collective belief of traders regarding the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Lightning vs. Islanders game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the final share price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the game's outcome and, therefore, this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lightning or the Islanders would likely have a substantial impact. Major coaching changes, unexpected lineup announcements, or even significant shifts in team performance leading up to the game could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, general hockey news and analysis, as well as public sentiment, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand the potential for shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.