TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lightning vs. Flames
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete, detailed resolution rules for five distinct markets (moneyline, three over/under totals, and spread), while Kalshi's market description is incomplete and fails to specify resolution outcomes for either team, making it fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on the Kalshi market until its resolution criteria are clarified. Polymarket's markets are fully specified and resolvable; use those for reliable settlement. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform on how 'Yes' resolves for each team outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides five distinct, fully specified markets with complete resolution logic for each. Moneyline resolves to 'Lightning' or 'Flames' based on final score; over/under markets specify exact goal thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5); spread market resolves based on margin of victory. All include postponement and cancellation rules: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides only a single market with critically incomplete resolution logic. States 'If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If CGY Flames wins the Tampa Bay at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' — both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
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