TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Liepaja vs Jelgava
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What is the result of Liepaja vs Jelgava?

Volume:
$37,662

Liepaja

 - Kalshi

Liepaja - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 10:51 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Liepaja

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,170
N/A
N/A
$28,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jelgava

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,225
N/A
N/A
$4,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,268
N/A
N/A
$1,950
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Latvian Virsliga league between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential match disruptions, ensuring a fair resolution if the game cannot proceed as scheduled.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Liepaja vs Jelgava professional Latvian Virsliga soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Liepaja win, Jelgava win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Liepaja vs Jelgava match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $37,591. The 24-hour volume is $37,581, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and how it's evolving leading up to the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each possible result.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to traditional betting establishments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding potential results. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event's probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liepaja vs Jelgava match as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, even if not directly reflected in betting odds, can influence traders’ perceptions and drive price movements. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, even outside of traditional sports news, can also contribute to changes in this market.