TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Liepaja and Auda in the Latvian Virsliga, focusing on determining whether Liepaja, Auda, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Liepaja vs Auda professional Latvian Virsliga soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Liepaja wins, the 'Liepaja' market resolves to Yes; if Auda wins, the 'Auda' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for post-match tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can reveal insights into where the crowd believes value lies compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders regarding the potential outcome of Liepaja versus Auda.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liepaja versus Auda match in the Latvian Higher League. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team form, such as key player injuries or suspensions, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected changes in coaching staff or tactical approaches could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, may cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids and asks, leading to price fluctuations in this market.