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413,109
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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Closed: Oct 5, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a FIFA International Friendlies match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals in the second half, with a 'Draw' outcome possible if both teams score the same number of goals. The markets explicitly exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liechtenstein" if Liechtenstein score more goals than Gibraltar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Liechtenstein and Gibraltar score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gibraltar" if Gibraltar score more goals than Liechtenstein in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liechtenstein" if Liechtenstein score more goals than Gibraltar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Liechtenstein and Gibraltar score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gibraltar" if Gibraltar score more goals than Liechtenstein in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar second half can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base, leading to varying opinions and trading strategies. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform – currently $0 overall – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and platform-specific rules may also contribute to these divergences. The differing probabilities reflect the independent assessments of traders on each venue, creating opportunities for arbitrage.