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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$409

GIB

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

GIB

View
39%
Yes 39¢No 61¢
—
$8
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gibraltar

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

LIE

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liechtenstein

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$0
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, including the 90-minute timeframe, the 'Neither' outcome, and the source hierarchy for determining the first goalscorer.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time wins the market.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a maximum delay of 24 hours due to data verification.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liechtenstein" if Liechtenstein are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gibraltar" if Gibraltar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liechtenstein" if Liechtenstein are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gibraltar" if Gibraltar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Liechtenstein or Gibraltar scoring first in the upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus that neither team will score first, with a chance percentage of 98. Total volume across both platforms is $409. This allows for a cross-platform view of sentiment, aggregating predictions from different user bases. The dashboard provides a consolidated perspective on who is favored to break the deadlock in the Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar match, offering a unique insight beyond traditional betting markets. It’s a dynamic representation of collective intelligence.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks primarily use statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when subjective factors or less-publicly available information are at play. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings, this market’s pricing is driven by traders actively expressing their beliefs. The current volume of $409 suggests growing interest in this event.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly and effectively information is incorporated into prices. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 98, while Predict leans toward Gibraltar to score first.