TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:12h:58m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets exist for Liechtenstein winning, Azerbaijan winning, or the game ending in a draw.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If Liechtenstein wins the Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Azerbaijan wins the Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information that isn’t fully reflected in sportsbook lines. Prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and allow traders to adjust their views based on new data. However, sportsbooks often have limits on bet sizes, while this market may allow for larger positions.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes, while Kalshi uses a similar mechanism. Prices on each platform can diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity and risk appetite among traders on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a Tie at 75.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-11-13? at 81.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or changes in the overall tournament standings could also impact the perceived chances of each team. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and news coverage, can also play a role, especially if it suggests a shift in confidence regarding either team’s performance. Keep an eye on these factors for potential movements in this market.