TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Liberty will win against Kennesaw State by more than 5.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Liberty winning by over 5.5 points. The market will resolve based on the final point differential in the Liberty vs Kennesaw St. college football game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as the outcome will be finalized and the market resolved by October 23, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Liberty vs Kennesaw St. college football game scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. If Liberty wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold, corresponding 'Liberty wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; if Kennesaw St. wins by a margin exceeding its threshold, those markets resolve to Yes. All markets share identical secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment across all point-spread thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be had, or that the sportsbook’s initial assessment was inaccurate. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Liberty vs Kennesaw State game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the real-world event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Liberty or Kennesaw State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.