TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between Libertas Livorno and Pallacanestro 2.015 Forli in Italy's Serie A2 league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Libertas Livorno vs Pallacanestro 2.015 Forli men’s professional Italy Serie A2 basketball game scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM EDT. If Pallacanestro 2.015 Forli wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Libertas Livorno wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different type of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise, access to information, or simply varying opinions about the teams involved in the Italian basketball game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a particular result, and the difference between the buy and sell prices represents the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Italian basketball game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The winning team, as officially reported by sports authorities, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could shift expectations and move the odds. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event, or even weather conditions affecting travel, could also play a role. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators might also impact trading behavior, as users react to new information and adjust their predictions for the Italian basketball game.