TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between Libertas Livorno and Elachem Vigevano, reflecting which team secures a victory in their scheduled match. The result depends solely on the final score of the contest as officially recorded by the league. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines to ensure fairness.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Libertas Livorno vs Elachem Vigevano men’s professional Italy Serie A2 basketball game scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 12:00 PM EST. If Elachem Vigevano wins, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Libertas Livorno’s market resolves to No. Conversely, if Libertas Livorno wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Elachem Vigevano’s market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could signal that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or injuries.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official score reported by the governing body of the Italian basketball league. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team, and 0 for the losing team. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for the market’s resolution and payout of contracts.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Libertas Livorno or Elachem Vigevano 1955 would likely cause price movement. Changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions (if affecting travel) could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team performance or internal issues could also shift the market’s assessment of the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.