TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two basketball teams compete in an Italian professional league match. The outcome depends on which team secures the victory in the game scheduled for October 3, 2026.
The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Italy Serie A2 basketball game between Libertas Livorno and Basket Mestre, scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can drive the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Libertas Livorno versus Basket Mestre 1958 basketball game. The winning team, as declared by the official league standings, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Libertas Livorno or Basket Mestre 1958 would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team coaching changes or internal conflicts could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team performance, such as recent game results or changes in player form, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments as traders react to the latest information.