TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:24 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Libertad Loja and Guayaquil City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Libertad Loja" if Libertad Loja are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Guayaquil City FC" if Guayaquil City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Libertad Loja and Guayaquil City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Libertad Loja" if Libertad Loja are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Guayaquil City FC" if Guayaquil City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you might find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to the possibility of either Libertad Loja or Guayaquil City FC scoring the first goal.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Libertad Loja vs. Guayaquil City match. Official match data will be used to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. The market will then close, and shares will be settled accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the first scoring team.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching strategy for either Libertad Loja or Guayaquil City FC could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, might also cause traders to adjust their positions. Furthermore, significant betting activity on sportsbooks could indirectly impact sentiment on Polymarket as information spreads.