TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Libertad Asuncion and Club Guarani Asuncion, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Libertad Asuncion vs. Club Guarani Asuncion match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Libertad Asuncion and Club Guarani Asuncion, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Libertad Asuncion vs. Club Guarani Asuncion match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from odds set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and risk management into their pricing, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each exact score. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate in forecasting event outcomes due to the incentive structure and wider range of information considered by participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The total volume traded provides an indication of how much interest there is in each possible result of the Libertad vs. Guarani match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Libertad vs. Guarani match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sporting authority, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and cause prices to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.