TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard duration of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Prof. professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Liaoning Tieren wins, the 'Liaoning Tieren' market resolves to Yes. If Zhejiang Prof. wins, the 'Zhejiang Prof.' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts here, potentially causing the odds on Kalshi to diverge. This divergence can signal opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing circumstances, offering a unique view compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liaoning Tieren versus Zhejiang Prof. match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 USD per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations and impact contract prices. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed individuals or groups could signal a change in sentiment and trigger further price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market.