TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Liaoning Tieren and Wuhan Three Towns FC. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns FC professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Liaoning Tieren, a win for Wuhan Three Towns FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value, but remember that this market represents a distinct forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Liaoning Tieren will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Chinese Super League match between Liaoning Tieren and Wuhan Three Towns FC, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team won or if the match ended in a draw, based on the final score. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift sentiment. Major upsets in other recent Chinese Super League matches might lead traders to reassess the relative strengths of the teams involved. Keep an eye on these signals, as they could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.