TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liaoning Tieren FC" if Liaoning Tieren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liaoning Tieren FC" if Liaoning Tieren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of informed traders who have skin in the game. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's uncertainty or potential for an upset. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is influenced by factors like team form, player injuries, and recent performance, all interpreted by the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Liaoning Tieren FC versus Zhejiang Zhiye FC match. Official match records and verified sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liaoning Tieren FC or Zhejiang Zhiye FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, might influence trader sentiment. Major news events impacting the broader football league could also indirectly affect this market.