TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the result of a professional basketball contest between the Liaoning Flying Leopards and the Shanghai Sharks. The outcome is determined by which team emerges victorious in the game set for October 9, 2026. Adjustments to the game's schedule or its cancellation will influence the market's resolution process.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Shanghai Sharks men's professional Chinese Basketball Association game scheduled for October 9, 2026, at 7:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, as each represents a unique form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a constantly updated forecast of the game’s result. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Liaoning Flying Leopards versus Shanghai Sharks game as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. The market will determine which outcome—a win for either team—is the accurate result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Liaoning Flying Leopards or the Shanghai Sharks would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching strategies, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or any controversies surrounding the game could also cause price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 9, 2026.