TOTAL VOLUME:
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412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 07d:05h:33m
$
This group resolves to which basketball team, the Liaoning Flying Leopards or the Guangzhou Loong Lions, wins their CBA game scheduled for November 3rd. The resolution is based on the final score, including overtime, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule and continued operation if the game is postponed.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Guangzhou Loong Lions and Liaoning Flying Leopards, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 6:35 AM EST. If Liaoning Flying Leopards wins, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Guangzhou Loong Lions’ market resolves to No. Conversely, if Guangzhou Loong Lions wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Liaoning Flying Leopards’ market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a house edge, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market reflects what traders believe the probability of each outcome is, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise from varying levels of expertise among participants and differing risk appetites, making prediction markets a valuable complement to traditional betting.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of information and analytical approaches. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, differing interface designs and fee structures can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions at 72%, while Predict leans toward Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions at an unlisted percentage, illustrating this potential for differing valuations.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liaoning Flying Leopards versus Guangzhou Loong Lions game as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout structure once the game concludes and the results are officially validated. The market’s outcome will reflect the winning team as determined by the official game score.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Liaoning Flying Leopards or the Guangzhou Loong Lions would likely cause price movement. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or changes in team strategy, could also shift trader sentiment. Major media coverage or public endorsements could further influence the market, as could any external factors impacting the Chinese Basketball Association schedule or competitive landscape.