TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Two baseball teams compete in a match where the combined number of runs scored determines the outcome. Bettors speculate whether the game's scoring will exceed certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about offensive performance and game pace.
All markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both the LG Twins and Lotte Giants in their KBO game scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market has a specific threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to Yes. If the combined runs equal or fall below the threshold, the market resolves to No. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering better value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under 9.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy 'over' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective prediction of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders refine their expectations for the game’s final score.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the LG Twins versus Lotte Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of 9.5. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding starting pitchers – injuries, late scratches, or changes in form – would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly rain delays or strong winds, can also impact scoring expectations. In-game events, such as early scoring or a dominant pitching performance, will immediately affect the price. Even public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.