TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the EFL League One encounter between Leyton Orient and Plymouth on October 3, 2026, focusing on whether both sides find the back of the net during the standard match duration.
If Leyton Orient and Plymouth both score a goal in the Leyton Orient vs Plymouth EFL League One match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often leading to probabilities that differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and house biases into their odds, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If sportsbooks heavily favor one outcome, you might see a greater discrepancy in the odds compared to Kalshi. It's common to find that prediction markets are more accurate at forecasting the probability of events, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Leyton Orient and Plymouth will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of 'Yes' (both teams scoring). Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability. The current price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by whether both Leyton Orient and Plymouth score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to verify the result. The resolution will reflect whether both teams found the back of the net at any point during the game, including any added time. The final result will be reported on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 3, 2026 resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leyton Orient or Plymouth would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day – particularly if they are expected to favor attacking or defensive play – might move the market. Unexpected tactical changes announced by either manager could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.