TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Leyton Orient and Cambridge. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or low-scoring based on that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Leyton Orient vs Cambridge professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks, while employing sophisticated models, are still subject to biases and limitations in their analysis. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks, as they reflect different levels of information and risk assessment. It is common to see convergence as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Leyton Orient vs Cambridge match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is realized.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Leyton Orient vs Cambridge match will be the determining factor. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to verify the final score. The outcome will be the total goals scored by both teams combined during regular play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leyton Orient or Cambridge would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift expectations. Unexpected news about the referee assigned to the game, or even public sentiment expressed through social media, might contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals could move this market before Oct 31, 2026.