TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Lexington SC and Tulsa. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Lexington SC and Tulsa in their professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match in question is scheduled for October 9, 2026, and only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count — extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. All markets share the same temporal and scoring conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective prediction of traders, aiming for accurate forecasting rather than profit maximization. As a result, the implied probabilities from Kalshi may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially offering a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Lexington SC vs Tulsa match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set their own prices, and the market aggregates these individual assessments to determine the overall odds. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Lexington SC vs Tulsa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual total goals scored. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verified information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lexington SC or Tulsa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the referee assignment or stadium conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.