TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, where the focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular time of the game, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes. This event tests the offensive capabilities of both sides under normal competitive conditions.
If Lexington SC and Tulsa both score a goal in the Lexington SC vs Tulsa USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, tends to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by bettors, potentially offering more favorable odds if you believe the sportsbook's initial assessment is inaccurate. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available and market participants adjust their predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Lexington SC vs Tulsa match. The price of a 'Yes' contract reflects the market's collective belief that both teams will score; a higher price indicates a greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome, and risk losing money if their predictions are wrong. This dynamic creates a constantly adjusting price that aims to represent the most accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lexington SC and Tulsa score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lexington SC or Tulsa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's attacking prowess or defensive weaknesses could also cause the price to move, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.