TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Lexington SC and FC Tulsa, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Lexington SC and FC Tulsa, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can arise due to varying information and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event’s outcome. The total volume traded provides insight into the market’s confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized. The market will then settle based on the exact score that occurred during the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach, or even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts, could all contribute to changes in trading activity and ultimately move the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also influence traders’ decisions.