TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:06 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals actively trading and expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Polymarket to reflect their collective insight. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds that are more accurate or simply represent a different perspective than traditional betting options.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The higher the demand for a particular result, the more expensive shares in that outcome become.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lexington SC vs. El Paso match, as determined by the governing league or organization. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could drive price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, may also contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing as the match approaches.