TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Lexington SC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Lexington SC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC?

Volume:
$143,417

Lexington SC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 9:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lexington SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,371
N/A
N/A
$27,868
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexington SC

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

El Paso Locomotive FC

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,003
N/A
N/A
$39,523
Settled
No
polymarket

El Paso Locomotive FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,485
N/A
N/A
$22,964
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Lexington SC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC)

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between Lexington SC and El Paso Locomotive FC on October 3, 2026. Markets exist for Lexington SC winning, El Paso Locomotive FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between Kalshi and Polymarket, specifically regarding the draw market.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation scenarios. Polymarket's draw market offers a potential payout if the game is canceled, while Kalshi's win markets would lose.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on whether Lexington SC or El Paso Locomotive FC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on whether Lexington SC or El Paso Locomotive FC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Lexington SC and El Paso Locomotive FC.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Lexington SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a outright win within regular time plus stoppage time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams finish level after the same duration. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform rules. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time plus stoppage time, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant information asymmetry or a large number of participants. The volume of $143,417 in this market suggests growing interest, potentially leading to odds that more closely reflect the true probability of each outcome compared to initial sportsbook lines.