TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Lexington SC and Colorado Springs Switchbacks, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled according to specific goal-difference thresholds for each team.
The event covers a professional USL Championship soccer match between Lexington SC and Colorado Springs Switchbacks scheduled for November 1, 2026. The outcome depends on the goal differential by which either team wins, evaluated after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome scenarios are defined: Lexington SC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lexington SC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Colorado Springs Switchbacks winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Colorado Springs Switchbacks winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario resolves to 'Yes' if the respective condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, and the odds adjust dynamically as more information and opinions are incorporated. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new developments or insights surface leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective prediction. Currently, the most active contract is for Lexington SC to win by more than 1.5 goals, though the implied probability is not yet available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference between Lexington SC and Colorado Springs will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the game could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential price movements.