TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Levski Sofia wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Levski Sofia wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:21h:29m
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Levski Sofia faces Jagiellonia again, this time focusing on the spread. The match will be closely watched for any dominant performances that could see one team pull away significantly, making it a key game for both clubs' European campaigns.
Multiple markets assess varying margins of victory for Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia in their Europa League match. Each market defines a specific winning margin threshold (e.g., Levski Sofia wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals; Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals). The market resolves to Yes if the winning team achieves a victory exceeding the stated margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from all resolutions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market benefits from the insights of many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a more fluid and responsive market compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will be the basis for settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators and experts could also shift the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential direction of the market and make informed trading decisions.