TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific Bundesliga soccer match between Leverkusen and Stuttgart. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on whether the match exceeds predefined goal totals after the standard playing time.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Leverkusen vs Stuttgart professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each evaluates the same match under its unique goal threshold criterion. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market’s prices are driven by actual traders buying and selling contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Leverkusen vs Stuttgart match. The current price indicates the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Leverkusen vs Stuttgart match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match, as officially recorded by the governing football authority, will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Stuttgart would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as any pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.