TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:26 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Leverkusen versus Stuttgart Bundesliga encounter, participants will determine if Leverkusen secures a dominant win. The result depends solely on the goal differential after the standard match duration, without considering any post-regulation proceedings.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Leverkusen vs Stuttgart Bundesliga match scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four separate conditions are evaluated: Leverkusen winning by more than 2.5 goals, Leverkusen winning by more than 1.5 goals, Stuttgart winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Stuttgart winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions met during regulation time will resolve the market to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for gauging public perception and identifying potential value discrepancies in this market. It's common to see differences in probabilities assigned to outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders' beliefs about the likely outcome of the Leverkusen vs Stuttgart match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 50, the more uncertain the market is about the spread. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between Leverkusen and Stuttgart at the end of the match. The market will settle based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final spread.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Leverkusen or Stuttgart would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly.