TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Leverkusen's match against Nuremberg in the DFB Pokal will focus on whether both teams manage to score within the standard match duration. The contest will examine the attacking momentum and defensive resilience of each team over the course of the game.
If Leverkusen and Nuremberg both score a goal in the Leverkusen vs Nuremberg DFB Pokal match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to set prices based on their own assessments of the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of BTTS, the price on this market may move in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Leverkusen and Nuremberg will score. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of BTTS. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the fair probability of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Leverkusen and Nuremberg score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be publicly available from sports news outlets and official league sources. The outcome is determined by the actual result of the match, not by any pre-match predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Nuremberg would likely have an impact, as this could affect their attacking capabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy could also cause the price to move. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of goals being scored by both teams could move this market.